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Severe Weather

Clever, MO

Updated Jun 8, 2026 11:29 PM · Next 48 hours · Refresh target 15 min

Primary timing window
Jun 9 10:00 AM
Max severe score
63/100
Max tornado score
60/100

Official alerts are active. Treat this as a real-time hazard situation first, with the strongest model signal centered near Jun 9 10:00 AM.

The dashboard refreshes from newer model guidance on a schedule, but the advanced tornado-focused indices are partly estimated from limited pressure levels rather than a full sounding analysis.

Storm timing windows

Window Focus Peak severe Peak tornado
Jun 8 6:00 PM – Jun 10 5:00 PM Conditional strong storm window 63 60

Active NWS Alerts

Flood Warning
Flood Warning issued June 8 at 1:20PM CDT until June 9 at 1:00AM CDT by NWS Springfield MO
Jun 8 6:20 PM to Jun 9 6:00 AM
Heat Advisory
Heat Advisory issued June 8 at 11:23AM CDT until June 10 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS Springfield MO
Jun 9 5:00 PM to Jun 10 12:00 PM

Most concerning time blocks

Time Severe Tornado TT K SWEAT SRH* EHI* BRN
Jun 8 6:00 PM 58 47 50 · Likely thunderstorms 30 · Moderate convective potential 454 · Tornadic possible 226 · Possible supercell 3.22 · F2/F3 possible 27 · Supercells favorable
Jun 8 7:00 PM 61 48 51 · Isolated severe 32 · Moderate convective potential 470 · Tornadic possible 213 · Possible supercell 3.53 · F2/F3 possible 42 · Supercells favorable
Jun 9 9:00 AM 60 45 54 · Widely scattered severe 29 · Moderate convective potential 362 · Severe possible 34 · Low 0.40 · Below classic threshold 979 · Less favorable
Jun 9 10:00 AM 63 39 54 · Widely scattered severe 37 · Moderate convective potential 378 · Severe possible 22 · Low 0.30 · Below classic threshold 98 · Less favorable
Jun 9 12:00 PM 63 31 53 · Widely scattered severe 30 · Moderate convective potential 323 · Severe possible 36 · Low 0.56 · Below classic threshold 284 · Less favorable
Jun 9 1:00 PM 63 27 53 · Widely scattered severe 28 · Moderate convective potential 315 · Severe possible 42 · Low 0.66 · Below classic threshold 199 · Less favorable
Jun 9 2:00 PM 61 26 52 · Isolated severe 28 · Moderate convective potential 293 · Slight severe 48 · Low 0.74 · Below classic threshold 207 · Less favorable
Jun 9 3:00 PM 59 25 50 · Likely thunderstorms 27 · Moderate convective potential 258 · Slight severe 67 · Low 1.08 · F2/F3 possible 125 · Less favorable

* SRH and EHI are estimated from limited model levels and an inferred storm motion, so treat them as guidance rather than exact sounding values.

Index details

Time CAPE LI 0-3 km speed shear Deep shear Low-level shear Storm signal
Jun 8 6:00 PM 2280 J/kg -7.2 7.7 · Large 25.5 kt 16.4 kt Organized severe signal
Jun 8 7:00 PM 2650 J/kg -7.9 8.7 · Severe 21.8 kt 18.6 kt Organized severe signal
Jun 9 9:00 AM 1870 J/kg -8.9 5.8 · Moderate 3.8 kt 20.6 kt Organized severe signal
Jun 9 10:00 AM 2170 J/kg -9.1 5.3 · Moderate 13 kt 16.8 kt Organized severe signal
Jun 9 12:00 PM 2470 J/kg -9.2 5.0 · Moderate 8.1 kt 5.4 kt Organized severe signal
Jun 9 1:00 PM 2510 J/kg -9.6 3.5 · Weak 9.8 kt 5.2 kt Organized severe signal
Jun 9 2:00 PM 2480 J/kg -9 3.6 · Weak 9.5 kt 4.9 kt Organized severe signal
Jun 9 3:00 PM 2570 J/kg -8.2 3.4 · Weak 12.5 kt 6.2 kt Organized severe signal

What the model is seeing

  • Peak model CAPE reaches about 2650 J/kg and lifted index bottoms near -9.6.
  • Approximate deep-layer shear peaks near 26 kt and low-level shear near 32 kt.
  • Total Totals peaks near 55 and K Index near 37.
  • Estimated SWEAT peaks near 496 and estimated SRH peaks near 250.
  • Highest severe-weather score peaks at 63/100 and tornado-focused score peaks at 60/100.
  • An active NWS alert is already in effect, which should take priority over model-only guidance.
  • SRH and EHI here are estimated from sparse pressure-level winds and inferred storm motion rather than a full hodograph or sounding package.